HIP-4 stats: Hyperliquid prediction markets by the numbers

Aggregate trading activity for HIP-4 prediction markets on Hyperliquid mainnet, rebuilt every few minutes from live exchange data and our own ingest of Hyperliquid trade data. Every figure on this page is defined in the methodology section, including which ones are windowed and how volume is counted. If you want the protocol explained rather than measured, start with what HIP-4 is.

Snapshot taken Aug 3 21:47 UTC.

The headline numbers

All-time volume

n/a

Markets deployed

626

since May 2, 2026

Markets settled

620

all time

Open right now

5

0 awaiting settlement

Volume, 24h

n/a

Trades, 24h

n/a

Traders, 24h

n/a

Outcomes traded

n/a

all time, with at least one fill

Open markets right now

5 marketsopen, sorted by 24 hour volume. Odds are the Yes side’s current mid, which reads as the market-implied probability. Multi-outcome questions appear once, with their bands’ volume and open interest combined and no odds figure, because no single band’s price is the probability for the question as a whole.

MarketShapeYes odds24h volumeOpen interestSettlesSettled by
BTC above $62,809Price threshold95%$273,649$130,866Aug 4, 2026 06:00 UTCAuto-settle
HYPE above $52.777Price threshold88%$7,013$3,792Aug 4, 2026 06:00 UTCAuto-settle
ETH above $1,859.1Price threshold63%$4,006$3,188Aug 4, 2026 06:00 UTCAuto-settle
SOL above $72.886Price threshold85%$2,950$1,997Aug 4, 2026 06:00 UTCAuto-settle
BTC $61,552 | $64,065Price range--$715$2,365Aug 4, 2026 06:00 UTCAuto-settle

Biggest HIP-4 markets by all-time volume

The all-time market ranking is unavailable right now. This block reads from live exchange data and our own chain ingest, and it refills on the next refresh.

Recently settled

What each share actually paid out. A settlement of 100% means the Yes side resolved in full at $1.00 per share; 0% means it resolved worthless. Standalone outcomes can settle anywhere in between.

The settlement history is unavailable right now. This block reads from live exchange data and our own chain ingest, and it refills on the next refresh.

Permissionless deployment status

There are no validator-approved outcome templates on Hyperliquid mainnet, and no registered deployers. Permissionless deployment is not enabled here.

On Hyperliquid testnet, read live at the same moment, there is 1 approved template and 28 registered deployers.

Permissionless HIP-4 deployment is live on Hyperliquid testnet and is not live on Hyperliquid mainnet; no mainnet date has been announced. Press reporting from outlets including The Block, KuCoin and CoinGape puts the staking threshold for permissionless mainnet deployment at 500,000 HYPE, but Hyperliquid’s own documentation does not publish a figure, so treat that as reporting rather than protocol specification.

Who deploys and settles

Of the 5 markets open right now, 0 are settled by a third-party deployer rather than by the protocol. On a deployer-settled market there is no dispute window: the deployer signs the final result and nobody can sign it in their place. Their stake stays locked while any of their outcomes is unsettled.

Per-deployer market counts, volume, market share and how many of each deployer’s markets are currently overdue are on the deployers page.

Methodology

Volume is the sum of traded notional over every fill we have recorded, counting both sides of a market. The Yes book and the No book are separate spot order books on HyperCore, and a fill on either is a real trade, so both are included. This is the same basis as the all-time volume shown on our market cards and as the per-deployer volume on /deployers, so those three surfaces agree with each other.

Trades and unique traders come from the same records. A trade is counted once; a trader is counted once per window whether they were the buyer or the seller on a given fill. Counting only buyers is a common and material undercount, so both counterparties are included.

24h volume per market in the open-markets table is Hyperliquid’s own rolling daily notional for the Yes side of that market, which matches Hyperliquid’s convention. It is therefore a narrower measure than the platform-wide volume figures above, which include both sides.

Open interest is the sum over both sides of circulating supply multiplied by mark price.

Multi-outcome questions (a price range carved into bands) occupy one row, named for the question rather than for any one band. The 24h volume and open interest on that row are the sum across the question’s live bands, because every band is its own pair of order books holding its own separate share of both. No odds figure is shown for such a row: each band has its own price and none of them is the probability for the question as a whole.

“Open right now” is derived from live exchange metadata and each market’s own settlement moment, not from a stored snapshot table. A market whose settlement moment has passed without a signed result is counted separately as awaiting settlement rather than as open or as settled, because it is genuinely neither. A market whose resolution clause is written as prose rather than as a machine-readable settlement field is still counted as open until its result is signed, and its Settles cell reads “--”. Multi-outcome questions are counted once, not once per outcome.

Markets deployed and settled are all-time counts deduplicated by question, so a multi-strike price-range question counts as one market rather than as one per band. That is the same definition used on /deployers.

Settlement timestamps in the recently settled table are when our own indexer first observed the signed result, not the moment it was signed on-chain. Hyperliquid’s settled-outcome record carries no block time, so the on-chain moment is not recoverable after the fact, and that table is ordered by observation for the same reason.

Coverage and limits. The trade records come from our own continuous ingest of Hyperliquid trade data for HIP-4 outcome coins. We do not claim it is a complete reconstruction of the chain: a long outage would leave a gap, and figures can be revised as records reconcile. Market names are taken from each market’s on-chain description, which for permissionless markets is authored by the deployer, and they are shown exactly as written.

Data on this page refreshes roughly every five minutes. This snapshot was taken Aug 3 21:47 UTC, covering activity from May 2, 2026 onward. None of it is investment advice.

Related: what HIP-4 is, deployers, all prediction markets, explore, leaderboard, platform stats, and how this compares to Polymarket.