HIP-4 stats: Hyperliquid prediction markets by the numbers

Aggregate trading activity for HIP-4 prediction markets on Hyperliquid mainnet, rebuilt every few minutes from live exchange data and our own ingest of Hyperliquid trade data. Every figure on this page is defined in the methodology section, including which ones are windowed and how volume is counted. If you want the protocol explained rather than measured, start with what HIP-4 is.

Snapshot taken Sep 18 16:44 UTC.

Data currentChain archive through Sep 18 15:59 UTC (45 min lag)
All-time rollup updated 24 min agoRolling windows updated 14 min ago

The headline numbers

All-time volume

$290.2M

$290,157,929

Markets deployed

3,068

since May 2, 2026

Markets settled

2,916

all time

Open right now

212

0 awaiting settlement

Volume, 24h

$1,707,676

Trades, 24h

29,107

Traders, 24h

2,031

Outcomes traded

3,445

all time, with at least one fill

WindowVolumeTradesUnique traders
Last 24 hours$1,707,67629,1072,031
Last 7 days$10,825,214245,3533,394
Last 30 days$37,541,946725,1955,175
All time$290,157,9294,003,74419,105

Open markets right now

212 marketsopen, sorted by 24 hour volume. Odds are the Yes side’s current mid, which reads as the market-implied probability. Multi-outcome questions appear once, with their bands’ volume and open interest combined and no odds figure, because no single band’s price is the probability for the question as a whole.

MarketShapeYes odds24h volumeOpen interestSettlesSettled by
NFL: Raiders vs Chargers · LAC points minus LV points · Over/Under 6.5Custom event52%$77,605$77,609Sep 21, 2026 02:05 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: Browns vs Buccaneers · TB points minus CLE points · Over/Under 8.5Custom event25%$77,360$77,360Sep 20, 2026 23:00 UTCDeployer-settled
BTC above $77,457Price threshold100%$76,753$114,150Sep 19, 2026 06:00 UTCAuto-settle
NFL: Panthers vs Falcons · CAR points minus ATL points · Over/Under 2.5Custom event76%$60,100$60,100Sep 20, 2026 23:00 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: Packers vs Jets · GB points minus NYJ points · Over/Under 3.5Custom event50%$60,000$60,000Sep 20, 2026 23:00 UTCDeployer-settled
BTC touches $70,000 by Oct 1, 2026Touch threshold6%$43,835$63,002Oct 1, 2026 00:00 UTCDeployer-settled
BTC touches $85,000 by Oct 1, 2026Touch threshold48%$42,229$98,471Oct 1, 2026 00:00 UTCDeployer-settled
BTC touches $95,000 by Oct 1, 2026Touch threshold5%$41,469$77,126Oct 1, 2026 00:00 UTCDeployer-settled
2027 NFL winnerCustom event--$40,538$36,100Feb 21, 2027 12:00 UTCDeployer-settled
BTC touches $90,000 by Oct 1, 2026Touch threshold16%$27,656$65,247Oct 1, 2026 00:00 UTCDeployer-settled
2026/2027 Premier League winnerCustom event--$27,196$65,311Jun 5, 2027 12:00 UTCDeployer-settled
BTC touches $65,000 by Oct 1, 2026Touch threshold2%$26,687$35,078Oct 1, 2026 00:00 UTCDeployer-settled
2026/2027 Champions League winnerCustom event--$25,721$71,301Jun 12, 2027 12:00 UTCDeployer-settled
BTC above $100,000Price threshold2%$24,510$115,578Oct 1, 2026 00:00 UTCDeployer-settled
Premier League: Brentford v ChelseaCustom event38%$20,329$6,237Sep 19, 2026 19:00 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: Bengals vs Texans · HOU points minus CIN points · Over/Under 2.5Custom event53%$20,000$20,000Sep 20, 2026 23:00 UTCDeployer-settled
HYPE touches $100 by Oct 1, 2026Touch threshold49%$19,580$149,791Oct 1, 2026 00:00 UTCDeployer-settled
Crude Oil (WTI) above $83.196Price threshold96%$18,665$22,484Sep 29, 2026 21:00 UTCDeployer-settled
Bundesliga: Bayern Munich v 1. FC Union BerlinCustom event4%$16,824$1,850Sep 19, 2026 18:30 UTCDeployer-settled
Bundesliga: Bayern Munich v 1. FC Union BerlinCustom event94%$16,303$8,426Sep 19, 2026 18:30 UTCDeployer-settled
Bundesliga: 1. FC Union Berlin v Bayern MunichCustom event94%$15,653$12,408Sep 19, 2026 00:30 UTCDeployer-settled
BTC touches $60,000 by Oct 1, 2026Touch threshold0%$14,837$115,342Oct 1, 2026 00:00 UTCDeployer-settled
Ligue 1: AS Monaco v LensCustom event50%$14,250$4,549Sep 19, 2026 18:45 UTCDeployer-settled
Premier League: Brentford v ChelseaCustom event36%$13,883$4,032Sep 19, 2026 19:00 UTCDeployer-settled
Premier League: AFC Bournemouth v LiverpoolCustom event44%$12,262$8,229Sep 21, 2026 13:00 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: NE v PITCustom event67%$10,849$2,056Sep 21, 2026 17:00 UTCDeployer-settled
Bundesliga: Bayern Munich v 1. FC Union BerlinCustom event2%$10,692$6,428Sep 19, 2026 18:30 UTCDeployer-settled
LaLiga: Atlético Madrid v Real MadridCustom event50%$10,043$4,799Sep 21, 2026 14:15 UTCDeployer-settled
Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee October 2026 rate decisionCustom event42%$9,953$3,405Dec 9, 2026 23:00 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: ATL v CARCustom event42%$9,141$2,393Sep 21, 2026 17:00 UTCDeployer-settled
Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee October 2026 rate decisionCustom event57%$8,401$695Dec 9, 2026 23:00 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: DEN v JAXCustom event58%$8,358$1,334Sep 21, 2026 20:05 UTCDeployer-settled
Ligue 1: AS Monaco v LensCustom event26%$8,275$743Sep 19, 2026 18:45 UTCDeployer-settled
Ligue 1: AS Monaco v LensCustom event24%$8,014$2,402Sep 19, 2026 18:45 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: SF v MIACustom event45%$7,829$1,137Sep 21, 2026 20:25 UTCDeployer-settled
S&P 500 above $7,630Price threshold50%$7,795$10,172Sep 18, 2026 20:00 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: BAL v NOCustom event78%$7,746$1,025Sep 21, 2026 17:00 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: TB v CLECustom event78%$7,435$1,456Sep 21, 2026 17:00 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: NYJ v GBCustom event38%$7,396$782Sep 21, 2026 17:00 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: CHI v MINCustom event64%$7,060$716Sep 21, 2026 17:00 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: LAC v LVCustom event73%$7,013$2,654Sep 21, 2026 20:05 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: ARI v SEACustom event34%$6,453$1,028Sep 21, 2026 20:25 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: TEN v PHICustom event24%$5,550$1,064Sep 21, 2026 17:00 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: DAL v WSHCustom event65%$5,506$1,486Sep 21, 2026 20:25 UTCDeployer-settled
Premier League: Brentford v ChelseaCustom event27%$5,366$1,858Sep 19, 2026 19:00 UTCDeployer-settled
BTC $75,908 | $79,007Price range--$5,203$3,816Sep 19, 2026 06:00 UTCAuto-settle
Premier League: Brighton Hove Albion v ArsenalCustom event57%$5,171$1,616Sep 20, 2026 14:00 UTCDeployer-settled
NFL: HOU v CINCustom event57%$4,774$202Sep 21, 2026 17:00 UTCDeployer-settled
Premier League: Manchester City v SunderlandCustom event76%$4,585$1,588Sep 21, 2026 13:00 UTCDeployer-settled
Premier League: Nottingham Forest v Coventry CityCustom event61%$4,255$2,201Sep 20, 2026 16:30 UTCDeployer-settled

Biggest HIP-4 markets by all-time volume

#MarketAll-time volumeFills
12026 World Cup Champion$11,867,43782,068
22026 World Cup Champion$8,965,168147,956
32026 World Cup Champion$6,318,997122,025
4World Cup Semifinal: France vs Spain$4,454,27912,219
5BTC above $63927$3,644,25671,593
6BTC above $80657$3,335,07655,592
7BTC above $76885$3,130,833104,730
82026 World Cup Champion$2,693,65719,832
9BTC above $73674$2,593,72437,088
10July Fed funds decision$2,591,8694,360
11BTC above $78213$2,586,34534,428
12World Cup Semifinal: England vs Argentina$2,578,2996,982
132026 NBA Finals champion$2,435,2002,646
14BTC above $79980$2,367,15226,465
15BTC above $78213$2,293,99323,228
16BTC above $76886$2,261,57648,561
17World Cup Round of 16: Argentina vs Egypt$2,229,2086,976
18World Cup Third Place: France vs England$2,200,6494,600
19BTC above $81182$2,182,09357,079
20World Cup Quarterfinal: Norway vs England$2,146,7208,549
21BTC above $77793$2,133,92537,840
22BTC above $80813$2,122,13750,506
23BTC above $72951$2,090,09625,030
24World Cup Quarterfinal: France vs Morocco$2,073,1118,429
25World Cup Final: Spain vs Argentina$2,072,1287,225

Recently settled

What each share actually paid out. A settlement of 100% means the Yes side resolved in full at $1.00 per share; 0% means it resolved worthless. Standalone outcomes can settle anywhere in between.

MarketSettlement recordedPayout per shareAll-time volume
Outcome #4029Sep 18 16:31 UTC100%$0
Outcome #4030Sep 18 16:31 UTC100%$10
Outcome #4031Sep 18 16:31 UTC100%$10
Outcome #4079Sep 18 16:31 UTC100%$0
Outcome #4080Sep 18 16:31 UTC0%$0
Outcome #4070Sep 18 16:15 UTC100%$0
Outcome #4071Sep 18 16:15 UTC100%$0
Outcome #4063Sep 18 16:01 UTC0%$0
Outcome #4068Sep 18 16:01 UTC0%$0
Outcome #4069Sep 18 16:01 UTC100%$0
Outcome #4066Sep 18 15:45 UTC0%$0
Outcome #4067Sep 18 15:45 UTC0%$0
Outcome #4064Sep 18 15:31 UTC100%$0
Outcome #4065Sep 18 15:31 UTC100%$0
Outcome #3069Sep 18 15:15 UTC50%$0
Outcome #3070Sep 18 15:15 UTC50%$0
Outcome #3071Sep 18 15:15 UTC50%$0
Outcome #3477Sep 18 15:15 UTC50%$0
Outcome #3478Sep 18 15:15 UTC50%$0
Outcome #3479Sep 18 15:15 UTC50%$0
Outcome #4061Sep 18 15:15 UTC0%$0
Outcome #4062Sep 18 15:15 UTC0%$0
Outcome #4051Sep 18 15:01 UTC100%$104
Outcome #4059Sep 18 15:01 UTC100%$270
Outcome #4060Sep 18 15:01 UTC100%$695

Permissionless deployment status

18 validator-approved outcome templates on Hyperliquid mainnet, with 3 registered deployers.

On Hyperliquid testnet, read live at the same moment, there are 66 approved templates and 87 registered deployers.

aiModelHeadToHead

{shortNameA} v {shortNameB}: {leaderboard} on {dateTime}

  • benchmarkSettings: string
  • comparisonDirection: string
  • dateTime: dateTime
  • leaderboard: string
  • leaderboardUrl: string
  • metric: string
  • modelA: string
  • modelB: string
  • shortNameA: shortString
  • shortNameB: shortString
  • tiebreakers: string

binaryPrice

{perp} above {threshold} at {time}?

  • perp: hlPerp
  • priceDescription: string
  • seconds: uInt
  • threshold: uDecimal
  • time: dateTime

companyIpoConfirmed

{company} IPO confirmed by {dateTime}

  • company: string
  • dateTime: dateTime

policyRateDecision

{institution} {decisionLabel} rate decision

  • decisionDeadline: dateTime
  • decisionLabel: string
  • institution: string
  • officialSource: string
  • policyMeasure: string
  • scheduledDecision: dateTime

policyRateDecrease

Decrease

policyRateIncrease

Increase

policyRateNoChange

No change

priceTouch

{perp} touches {target} by {time}

  • perp: hlPerp
  • priceDescription: string
  • seconds: uInt
  • target: uDecimal
  • time: dateTime

scalarPrice

{perp} from {low} to {high} at {time}

  • high: uDecimal
  • low: uDecimal
  • perp: hlPerp
  • priceDescription: string
  • seconds: uInt
  • time: dateTime

sportsContestDraw2

Draw

sportsContestParticipant2

{participant}

  • participant: string

sportsContestResult

{competition} {stage}: {participantA} v {participantB}

  • competition: string
  • contestType: string
  • countedPlay: string
  • officialSource: string
  • participantA: string
  • participantB: string
  • resolutionDeadline: dateTime
  • scheduledStart: dateTime
  • season: string
  • sport: string
  • stage: string

sportsContestWinner

{competition} {stage}: {participantA} v {participantB}

  • competition: string
  • contestType: string
  • countedPlay: string
  • officialSource: string
  • participantA: string
  • participantB: string
  • resolutionDeadline: dateTime
  • scheduledStart: dateTime
  • season: string
  • shortNameA: shortString
  • shortNameB: shortString
  • sport: string
  • stage: string

sportsOverUnderMarket

{event}: {measure} over/under {line}

  • countedPlay: string
  • event: string
  • line: uDecimal
  • measure: string
  • officialSource: string
  • resolutionDeadline: dateTime
  • scheduledStart: dateTime
  • sport: string

sportsScalarMarket

{event}: {measure} from {low} to {high}

  • countedPlay: string
  • event: string
  • high: uDecimal
  • low: uDecimal
  • measure: string
  • officialSource: string
  • resolutionDeadline: dateTime
  • scheduledStart: dateTime
  • sport: string

sportsTournamentNoWinner2

No winner

sportsTournamentParticipant

{participant}

  • participant: string

sportsTournamentWinner

{season} {competition} winner

  • competition: string
  • officialSource: string
  • resolutionDeadline: dateTime
  • season: string
  • sport: string

Permissionless HIP-4 deployment is live on Hyperliquid mainnet. Eligible third parties can register as deployers and instantiate validator-approved templates; the live registry counts above are the authoritative snapshot used by this page.

Who deploys and settles

Of the 212 markets open right now, 207 are settled by a third-party deployer rather than by the protocol. On a deployer-settled market there is no dispute window: the deployer signs the final result and nobody can sign it in their place. Their stake stays locked while any of their outcomes is unsettled.

Per-deployer market counts, volume, market share and how many of each deployer’s markets are currently overdue are on the deployers page.

Methodology

Volume is the value of executed buys before fees, including both buyers in complementary matches. Splits, merges, negations and settlement actions are excluded. Matched shares and trades count ordinary executions once. Archive data is delayed.

Trades and unique traders come from the same records. A trade is counted once; a trader is counted once per window whether they were the buyer or the seller on a given fill. Counting only buyers is a common and material undercount, so both counterparties are included.

24h volume per market in the open-markets table is Hyperliquid’s own rolling daily notional for the Yes side of that market, which matches Hyperliquid’s convention. It is therefore a narrower measure than the platform-wide volume figures above, which include both sides.

Open interest is the sum over both sides of circulating supply multiplied by mark price.

Multi-outcome questions (a price range carved into bands) occupy one row, named for the question rather than for any one band. The 24h volume and open interest on that row are the sum across the question’s live bands, because every band is its own pair of order books holding its own separate share of both. No odds figure is shown for such a row: each band has its own price and none of them is the probability for the question as a whole.

“Open right now” is derived from live exchange metadata and each market’s own settlement moment, not from a stored snapshot table. A market whose settlement moment has passed without a signed result is counted separately as awaiting settlement rather than as open or as settled, because it is genuinely neither. A market whose resolution clause is written as prose rather than as a machine-readable settlement field is still counted as open until its result is signed, and its Settles cell reads “--”. Multi-outcome questions are counted once, not once per outcome.

Markets deployed and settled are all-time counts deduplicated by question, so a multi-strike price-range question counts as one market rather than as one per band. That is the same definition used on /deployers.

Settlement timestamps in the recently settled table are when our own indexer first observed the signed result, not the moment it was signed on-chain. Hyperliquid’s settled-outcome record carries no block time, so the on-chain moment is not recoverable after the fact, and that table is ordered by observation for the same reason.

Coverage and limits. Historical figures come from the hourly Hyperliquid node-fills archive and are served from precomputed all-time and rolling-window rollups. The data-status panel above shows the archive watermark and the age of those rollups, so a delayed pipeline is visible instead of silently appearing current. Figures can be revised as archived fills reconcile. Market names are taken from each market’s on-chain description, which for permissionless markets is authored by the deployer, and they are shown exactly as written.

Data on this page refreshes roughly every five minutes. This snapshot was taken Sep 18 16:44 UTC, covering activity from May 2, 2026 onward. None of it is investment advice.

Related: what HIP-4 is, deployers, all prediction markets, explore, leaderboard, platform stats, and how this compares to Polymarket.