Liquidiction Historical Record № 0004 · MAINNET✓ Final

BTC above $81,287 on May 7, 2026

Daily price binary · expired 06:00 UTC

Settled May 7, 2026Crypto · 1d recurringHyperliquid HIP-4
NoResolved

BTC settled at $81,047.10 at the May 7, 2026 06:00 UTC expiry, $239.90 (−0.30%) below the $81,287.00 target. The market resolved No.

NoWinner ✓$1.00
Settlement basis · price at expiry
$81,047.10<$81,287.00

Settlement price versus target · missed by $239.90 (−0.30%). Source: Hyperliquid's own settlement record for this outcome, which is retained after the market leaves the live metadata.

Settlement
Hyperliquid protocol deployer

0x0000…0001 · recorded 2026-05-29 02:38:39 UTC · backfilled

Lifetime volume
$401,949
Trades
9,044
Unique traders
647
Market life
Not reported

Lifetime traded range

implied probability of the winning side · price per $1 share
NO · WONsettled $1.00 ✓18.4%best entry $0.1843 → paid 5.43×high 100.0%0%255075100%YES · LOSTsettled $0.00 ✕low 0.0%high 82.2%
Every traded print over the market's life, on a fixed 0 to 100% ruler shared by every record in this archive.9,044 trades · 647 traders
Widest swing
82.2 pts
17.8% → 100.0% on the winning side
Best winning entry
$0.1843→ 5.43×
lowest corroborated print on No, versus its $1.00 redemption
Volume-weighted price
$0.6601
No side, across 24,833 fills
SideResultLowHighVWAPVolumeTradesLargest fill
No$1.00 ✓$0.1782$1.0000$0.6601$1,364,77424,833$94,583.11
Yes$0.00 ✕$0.0000$0.8218$0.5928$1,139,10624,833$5,515.73

New to prediction markets? Shares trade between $0.00 and $1.00, and the price is the market's live estimate of the probability. At settlement the winning side redeems at exactly $1.00 per share and the losing side expires at $0.00.

All outcomes of this question

3 outcomes
  • Outcome #7Lost · $0.00
  • Outcome #8Won · $1.00
  • Outcome #9Lost · $0.00

Resolution trail

Expired
2026-05-07 06:00:00 UTCtrading closed at the stated expiry
Determined on-chain
Hyperliquid L1 · Hyperliquid protocol deployer0x0000…0001 resolved the market to No
Recorded
2026-05-29 02:38:39 UTCbackfilledobserved and archived by Liquidiction

How this market settled

Rule. A priceBinarymarket resolves to the first side if the underlying's Hyperliquid mark at the stated expiry is at or above the target price, and to the second side otherwise. Settlement executes on-chain, and every share of the winning side redeems at $1.00.

Timestamps. Times labelled recordedare Liquidiction's own observation times, not chain times: our settlement detector typically observes a result within two minutes. Determination happens on Hyperliquid L1 and this archive does not claim a chain timestamp for it. This record was observed long after its expiry, which measures when we looked rather than how promptly the protocol settled, so no delay figure is published.

The settlement basis. The figure above comes from Hyperliquid's own settlement record for this outcome, which the protocol writes at settlement and retains after the market leaves the live metadata. It is published as the value the rule was evaluated against. It is not a closing price, a last trade, or an average.

Text supplied by a market's deployer is displayed exactly as written and is never interpreted as page markup, styling or category.

About this record

BTC above $81,287 on May 7, 2026 was an on-chain prediction market on Hyperliquid's HIP-4. It has resolved and no longer trades. BTC settled at $81,047.10 at the May 7, 2026 06:00 UTC expiry, $239.90 (−0.30%) below the $81,287.00 target. The market resolved No. No paid $1 per share and every other outcome paid $0. It recorded 9,044 trades and $401,949 of volume across every order book on all 3 of its outcomes. Deployed by Hyperliquid. Settlement is executed by protocol code from a price observation, or by the validator set voting on the outcome. No third party signs the result.

How did BTC above $81,287 on May 7, 2026 resolve?

BTC settled at $81,047.10 at the May 7, 2026 06:00 UTC expiry, $239.90 (−0.30%) below the $81,287.00 target. The market resolved No. No paid $1 per share and every other outcome paid $0.

What price did BTC above $81,287 on May 7, 2026 settle at?

Hyperliquid's own settlement record for this market gives $81,047.10, against a target of $81,287.00. That record is written by the protocol at settlement and is retained after the market leaves the live metadata, which is why this archive can state it as a price rather than as a bound.

Who settled BTC above $81,287 on May 7, 2026?

Deployed by Hyperliquid. Settlement is executed by protocol code from a price observation, or by the validator set voting on the outcome. No third party signs the result.

How much was traded on BTC above $81,287 on May 7, 2026?

Liquidiction recorded 9,044 trades and $401,949 of volume across every order book on all 3 of its outcomes before it settled. Volume counts fills on both order books of each of the 3 outcomes, which are separate spot order books on Hyperliquid.

Other resolved markets on the same underlying

Trade markets that are still open

This market has resolved and cannot be traded. Liquidiction is a non-custodial frontend for Hyperliquid's HIP-4 prediction markets: every trade settles on-chain through your own wallet.

Hyperliquid prunes settled markets from its live API. This record is preserved permanently by Liquidiction · liquidiction.xyz
Locator HL outcome 4 · coins #40 / #41 · encoding class:priceBinary|underlying:BTC|expiry:20260507-0600|targetPrice:81287|period:1d · canonical liquidiction.xyz/market/btc-above-81287-1d-4 · settles May 7, 2026 06:00 UTC